Morgan Stanley Warns US Cars Are Too Expensive
Published: September 25, 2024
Shares of General Motors and Ford experienced significant declines following a warning from Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas about the unaffordability of vehicles for U.S. consumers and the implications of a price war among Chinese automakers. Despite lower interest rates, the average monthly payment for vehicles in the U.S. exceeds $700, discouraging potential buyers from visiting dealerships. This situation is further complicated by increasing market shares for Japanese and South Korean manufacturers, leaving little room for improvement for American automakers.
Additionally, Jonas notes that Chinese manufacturers are producing close to 9 million more vehicles than they sell domestically, leading to plummeting prices and unsustainable competition. He characterized U.S. car affordability as "very stretched," highlighting that the market dynamics remain unchanged, with inventories returning to pre-COVID levels and U.S. manufacturers facing unique challenges such as declining pricing and rising production costs.
From a transportation expert perspective, the current landscape suggests that the automotive industry is at a critical juncture. The pressure on vehicle pricing due to excess supply in China may push American manufacturers to revisit their pricing strategies and explore innovative solutions, such as enhancing their electric vehicle offerings to capture better market segments. Moreover, automakers in the U.S. may need to focus on delivering more affordable vehicle options to meet consumer demand and sustain market share in an increasingly competitive environment.