In 2025, Will Trump Administration Be a Friend of Trucking?

American Trucking Associations President Chris Spear recently met with former President Donald Trump to discuss potential changes in the trucking industry under a possible second Trump administration. Spear expressed optimism about slowing the regulatory push for electric trucks, particularly against the backdrop of California's strict environmental mandates. He pointed out the challenges of transitioning to electric vehicles, including the longer charging times compared to refueling diesel trucks and the lack of available infrastructure. Industry leaders, including David Heller from the Truckload Carriers Association, expect a more favorable regulatory environment under Trump, emphasizing the need for a strategic approach to implementing environmental regulations. There is also a push to revisit emissions standards that may be deemed unrealistic for heavy-duty vehicles. Spear highlighted concerns about 'nuclear lawsuits'—extremely high jury awards against trucking companies—and the impact such verdicts have on the industry. He voiced confidence that the new administration could mitigate these claims and support legal reforms. Experts believe that the upcoming administration will foster a deregulatory climate, which is seen as a relief for the trucking industry after years of stringent regulations. However, with automated trucking on the horizon, there remains an industry-wide desire for clear regulatory guidance as these technologies are adopted. The expectation is that the new administration will approach these challenges with a renewed perspective, utilizing past insights to inform policies that are manageable and conducive to the trucking industry’s growth and sustainability. A careful approach could help balance environmental goals with practical industry needs, allowing for a smoother transition to new technologies while maintaining operational efficiency. The Truckload Carriers Association (TCA) anticipates that the new administration will ease environmental regulations, particularly regarding the EPA's greenhouse gas emissions standards for heavy-duty vehicles. David Heller from TCA expressed that the trucking industry has always supported environmental initiatives but emphasized the need for a careful strategy in implementing regulations. The TCA has backed initiatives to withdraw the EPA's stringent emissions standards and is optimistic about changes that might allow for a more achievable compliance framework. Dan Horvath from the American Trucking Associations (ATA) echoed these sentiments, advocating for revisions to the greenhouse gas standards to align with practical expectations. He also expects a regulatory slowdown, noting that ongoing discussions around speed limiters and automated vehicles will be influenced by the new administration's priorities. Concerns remain about the impact of "nuclear verdicts," where jury awards in trucking lawsuits exceed $10 million. These high-stakes lawsuits are drawing attention due to recent cases that could significantly affect the industry financially. TCA anticipates legislative support to help address these lawsuits by facilitating their transfer to federal courts, potentially providing a more favorable environment for trucking companies. Sean Garney from Scopelitis Transportation Consulting suggested that with Trump's return to the presidency, the administration will likely resume with a proactive approach towards trucking regulations. However, the timeline for restoring administrative functions might be uncertain. In my view, the anticipated deregulatory stance could provide much-needed relief to the trucking industry, which has faced increasing operational costs due to stringent environmental regulations and litigation risks. However, striking a balance between environmental stewardship and operational feasibility is essential, as the industry must still progress towards sustainable practices while addressing pressing economic challenges. The discussion centers around the potential implications of a second term for Trump, particularly how it differs from his first tenure. Observers note that presidents typically don’t get opportunities to correct past mistakes, which may allow Trump to initiate policies and actions more effectively. However, there are uncertainties regarding how swiftly the administrative agencies can regain their operational momentum. In the transportation sector, this could lead to more decisive actions on infrastructure initiatives and regulatory reforms. An administration that is prepared to push forward with projects may capitalize on the urgency to improve public transport systems, highway infrastructure, and investment in sustainable transportation solutions. The success of these endeavors will hinge not only on the administration's priorities but also on the ability of agencies to mobilize resources and execute plans efficiently. Without clear and rapid action, the potential benefits of a renewed focus on transportation could be delayed or diminished.