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RXO Downgraded to Non-Investment Grade by Moody's

RXO Downgraded to Non-Investment Grade by Moody's

Feb 13, 20262 min readFreightWaves
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RXO has lost its investment-grade credit rating from Moody's, knocked down one notch to a level below the cutoff below which corporate debt is considered non-investment grade. The new Moody's debt rating for the 3PL is at Ba1, which is still above the equivalent at S&P Global. S&P Global's rating for RXO is at BB, which is considered one notch less than Ba1.

["The downgrade was not surprising given the reasons provided by Moody's, a lack of improvement in RXO's financial outlook due to conditions in the freight market. While spot rates are climbing, it has been an extremely negative development for brokers who have contract commitments to shippers at lower rates, and they now are facing covering that need for capacity at higher prices than what prevailed when the business was booked.", ["The impact of this downgrade will be significant for RXO, as it may lead to increased borrowing costs and reduced investor confidence. This could further exacerbate the company's financial struggles in a market where freight volumes remain soft.", ["However, the new Ba1 rating is still above the investment/non-investment grade cutoff, which suggests that RXO remains a relatively stable entity despite the downgrade. The company's strong balance sheet and access to significant capital may help it weather this storm.", ['The downgrade also highlights the challenges faced by 3PL companies in the current freight market. With excess carrier capacity and lower freight spot rates, brokers are facing increased pressure to cover their costs at higher prices.', ["Despite the negative outlook, Moody's remains optimistic about RXO's growth strategy, which is driven by a modestly improving outlook for the trucking and brokerage industry.", ["The company's recent earnings report showed weak earnings due to persistent softness in transportation freight volumes. This has been prolonged by excess truck capacity, leading to lower freight spot rates and reduced profitability for its brokerage operations.", ["RXO's reaction to the downgrade was cautious but optimistic. The company stated that it remains well-positioned to drive significant long-term earnings and free cash flow growth.", ["The Moody's downgrade noted that leverage at RXO 'remains high at 4.0x debt-to-EBITDA for fiscal 2025.' This highlights the need for RXO to manage its debt levels carefully in order to avoid further downgrades.", ["In contrast, C.H. Robinson's debt rating from Moody's is Baa2, now two notches more than Moody's RXO rating and above the investment/non-investment grade cutoff. This suggests that C.H. Robinson may be better positioned to weather the current market conditions."]]]]]]]]]

EazyInWay Expert Take

The downgrade reflects the company's inability to meet operating performance expectations due to weak earnings driven by persistent softness in transportation freight volumes.

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Source: FreightWaves

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